The word is that the advertising industry is going to be shedding personnel. Gloomy forecasts around the traps predict up 25% reductions in numbers. Are you prepared?
With Christmas looming I’d be concerned. It is usually a time when employers get to do their Ebenezer Scrooge impersonations. The gap between ‘letting go’ and restarting the year lets remaining personnel settle over the Christmas break—which is important, because nothing frightens the horses more than layoffs.
I remember working for an agency, back in the 90’s, when huge cuts were made in a large, failing enterprise. It was harrowing. The open plan office was awash with the ‘blood’ of fallen comrades. Over a couple of weeks the numbers dwindled to the extent that it seemed like the Marie Celeste. Needless to say productivity fell ridiculously—in part because the remaining personnel spent as much of their time as possible interviewing for new jobs. In the end, the hapless organisation who had been dutifully paying my salary folded itself into a sister company. Other than some furniture and the detritus of an ad agency (video equipment, awards etc) little remained. By the inevitable end I was long gone, having left to join Paul Jeffreys in our eponymous adventure MacGregor Jeffreys. At least I knew I couldn’t be fired as a result of mismanagement and poor leadership. I could go hungry, but at least I had a place to go and eat my marmite and cheese sandwiches and had a jolly nice business card.
One of the effects of a downturn in advertising is a redistribution of personnel. Independent startups will spring up like field mushrooms. The mother ships who cast them adrift become somewhat vulnerable to the displaced, who will be free to approach their former clients, offering services at a reduced cost—the absence of overhead has a remarkable effect on pricing. Where some obligation exists not to approach clients such as a restraint of trade, then competitor companies might enjoy the benefit of the freelancer’s category experience. When it is every man for himself the market behaves in mysterious and unpredicatable ways.
If you work in advertising (or in any other creative industry, for that matter) it pays to assume that you are dispensable. At any time, for any reason—which may have nothing to do with your skills or contribution to your employer’s success—you may find yourself surplus to requirements. It pays to always have a plan B, a contingency for when the unthinkable becomes the inevitable. Do it now.
Are you current in the techniques and thinking that are shaping your industry? As employees, many people forget to maintain their competitive offering, because they are so focused on delivering the product they were hired to make. Finished artists kept busy with Bull Gum and bromides in the late 80s who didn’t transition to desktop publishing went from feast to famine in short order. This is always important, recession or not, keep your skills up to date. Dig the well when you don’t need the water.
Get back in touch with people on your phone list. I don’t mean ‘gizza job’, just get back onto the habit of keeping your network alive. If you aren’t in the loop you will miss out on the opportunities.
As above, don’t apply for jobs just yet (or do if you see a plum role), but recruitment people in the creative industries need to know who is out there and what their skills are. You are their stock in trade. If you hide your light under a bushel then you might as well not exist—you won’t be in the ‘choice set’.
What do you represent in the market. Are you a rainmaker, do you cut through the chaff with insights and competitive ideas, are you a reliable workhorse that makes sure ‘the donuts leave the factory’? Can you articulate your proposition? What makes you irresistible and unique?
If you are in the position of having to retrench your business then Guy Kawasaki has some thoughts on how to cull your costs (cross-posted via ThoughtSpurs):
1. Cut deep and cut once.
Management usually believes that things will get better soon, so it cuts the smallest number of people in anticipation of a miracle. Most of the time, the miracle doesn’t materialize, and the company ends up making multiple cuts. Given the choice, you should cut too deeply and risk the high-quality problem of having to rehire. Multiple cuts are terrible for the morale of the employees who have not been laid off.
2. Move fast.
One hour after your management team discusses the need to lay off employees, the entire company will know that something is happening. Once people “know” a layoff is coming, productivity drops like a rock. You’re either laying people off or you’re not—you should avoid the state of “considering” a layoff.
3. Whack Teddy.
Most executives have hired a friend, a friend of a friend, or a relative as a favor. When a layoff happens, employees will be looking to see what happens to Teddy. “Did he survive the cut or did he go? Is it cronyism or competence that counts at the company?” Make sure that Ted is dead.
4. Don’t ask for pity.
Sometimes managers go to great lengths to show the person they’re laying off (or firing) how hard it is on them. This reminds me of the old definition of chutzpah: A boy murders his parents and then asks the court for leniency because he’s an orphan. The person who suffers is the one being terminated, not the manager.
5. Provide support.
Usually, the people getting laid off aren’t at fault. More likely, it was the fault of top management—the same top management with golden parachutes. Hence, you have a moral obligation to provide services like job counseling, résumé-writing assistance, and job-search help. There are firms that specialize in helping employees during “transitions,” so use them.
If you find yourself on the receiving end of the above advice and go out on your own, there are few things you will need to do to ensure your survival and, even better, your success. But I will save those for my next thrilling installment.
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Comments
Vincent Heeringa
November 27, 2008 at 10:19 am
Great post Dave. I read a fantastic article in the New Yorker called Let the Bad Times Roll (published in the last recession of 2001), about how so many great companies and magazine brands were launched in recessions.
http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2001/09/03/010903talk_the_financial_page
Perhaps the euphoria of a just-past boom gave the founders misplaced confidence. New Yorker argues it was because the lean years allowed these start-ups to run virtually on nothing, creating a culture of innovation and entrepreneurship.
“Despite all the bellyaching that accompanies a capital crunch, lean years are good for new companies … When the economy is hot, everyone's an entrepreneur. The more companies there are, the less likely it is that one of them will be able to sustain a lasting competitive advantage, no matter how flush the marketplace is. Starting a business is like investing in stock: you want to buy low and sell high.
“What's more, the easier it is for start-ups to raise and make money, the harder they find it to manage that money wisely. Companies need discipline—an ingrained sense of the relationship between effort and reward, product and profit. That's where a nice, brutal slowdown can come in handy.”
The story ends on a very nice line: “hardscrabble beginnings beget hard-minded men”.
Paul Kayser
December 1, 2008 at 12:29 pm
I commend both of the above posts as I've been affected by both subjects discussed and have learned many of the lessons. I spent 24 years in the ad industry as an art director and creative director, leaving the industry in '05. I experienced the giddy highs and the gut-wrenching lows. in fact I arrived in NZ, from South Africa, in February '88... post Crash! There wasn't a job going in the industry. None. But an innovative agency from Australia that specialised in retail set up in Auckland. There was no such agency back then in NZ. I joined as a freelancer [even though retail was seen as a dirty word for creatives], we pitched for Woolworths, won it, then went on to aquire Whitcoulls, Placemakers as well as Air New Zealand. I'd never worked so hard, but that experience launched my career in NZ.
David, you are so right about skilling up all the time, not just waiting until you have to. Another Lesson I learned when leaving the industry.
I have now launched an online retail/magazine website called CleverBastards.co.nz and it turned out to be slap-bang in a recession by the time we got it off the ground. This first year [launched in April '08] has been bastardly hard and at times I wondered what the hell I was doing. I think a few of my friends were having similar thoughts. But Vincent, you are so right about having to innovate and be disciplined [not my usual trait]. Every cent we spend has to work its butt off. But the biggest lesson I've learned through this exercise, is "sustainability". Yes, the environmental kind is virtually imperative these days, but it's sustainability as a business that decides whether or not it survives through a "nice brutal slowdown" like this one. To be honest, I don't know yet whether we'll be one of the survivors or one of the"hard-minded men" [bastards, my word choice] at the end of it. All I know is that I'm enjoying it, the signs are good and am going to give it all I can.
Good luck to rest of ya Bastards!
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